Back again inside of April, I consideration it smart towards yell baseball text at my Ouija board until finally it informed me a little something legible and switch it into an write-up more than the long run Cincinnati Reds time. The principle was rooted in just a few most important tenets:1) Ouija discussion boards are dumb2) Developing predictions pertaining to a entire 6 weeks of baseball is pretty dumb3) Not remaining thrilled with regards to the pending 6 entire weeks of baseball is ignoramus-position dumbBorn versus that ended up this yr's 5 Dumb Predictions for the Reds Joel Kuhnel Jersey, postulations built centered within section upon statistical investigation, within just portion upon intestine intuition, and within more substantial section upon the selection of beers I'd experienced preceding in direction of crafting them. Thinking about the year is previously within the guides, it's period towards revisit them and watch if I was far more Billy Hamilton within the market than J.J. Hoover upon the mound. Jay Bruce will comprise the great non-Votto OPS upon the RedsBOW Prior to ME On your own HEATHENS, FOR I HATH CONQUERED YOUR Rather EXISTENCES.A effortless perusal of the relative OPS's printed via the massive league Reds this 12 months yields the immaculate Joey Votto, a entire pile of .700's, terrible Tony Renda, bad bad Devin Mesoraco, and a pitching employees that interestingly swung melted swiss cheese inside the batter's box all time. It much too demonstrates Jay Bruce ingesting strike .265.316.559 in just his 402 PAs with the Reds, which means his .875 OPS was, within just truth of the matter, the easiest non-Votto OPS upon the Reds.I did incorporate this towards say back again in just April, as well:The surprise gets to be how plenty of online games he performs for the Reds, When, considering that he'll most likely be offered tougher than knock-off footy jerseys upon the roadways of Casablanca against Opening Working day onward Phillip Ervin Jersey. Bruce, of program, was traded in the direction of the Clean York Mets instantly at the non-waiver exchange deadline, at which position the guidance column upon his year broke and his manufacturing smashed into barrier the moment barrier for greatest of the chill out of the 12 months. He nonetheless performed with a finish-year OPS of .815, nevertheless, consequently no amount of qualifiers is shifting in the direction of crank out me concede wrongness upon this prediction, specifically considering the fact that I was mistaken as all hell upon highest of the loosen up of them.2) Eugenio Suarez states these XBH figures are for the birdsFirst off, it's dumb in the direction of crank out a prediction centered off a preceding prediction, if for no rationale other than it creates it difficult as hell towards describe it 6 weeks later on. Hence this prediction was thus dumbly incorrect towards the start off.Inside of the notes with regards to Prediction 1, I described that Bruce experienced even more excess-foundation hits than Votto within 2015 - 65 in direction of 64 - and this in this article prediction went upon in the direction of assert that Suarez - a heart infielder with a profession .403 SLG % former in the direction of the period - would strike much more than 70 inside of the 2016 time.Very well, he didn't, and I can't truly blame him for that.I was fascinated by way of what I observed against Henny within Spring Exercising , and I figured it would parlay improved into a comprehensive time in just the huge leagues than it really did. Suarez experienced a strong initial complete yr as a 3B, strike 21 dingers future toward 25 doubles, and was significance a tidy 1.5 bWAR upon his league minimum amount income, nonetheless he arrived a considerably cry in opposition to the lofty XBH totals I named for inside of April.70 XBH would've spot him within just the exact same classification with the likes of Manny Machado, Mookie Betts, and Jose Altuve, and around the likes of Jason Kipnis, Carlos Correa, and, nicely, Joey Votto. Even with my amount aim staying that superior, I never ever despite the fact that Suarez would achieve those people comparables, which intended my total prediction was off-kilter right before I at any time even commenced it.Oneself are not heathens, and on your own can close bowing. This was an airball, for the duration of and throughout.3) Brandon Phillips will slug less than .400, determination inside of 100+ runsBrandon Phillips did not slug down below .400. Brandon Phillips slugged .416.Brandon Phillips did not commitment in just 100+ operates. Brandon Phillips drove within 64 operates.At no issue inside my rambling, incoherent remedy, was I even stop in the direction of almost everything that may well be regarded as a sensible idea. Everybody inside this area is presently dumber for using read through it. I am awarded no info, and might god consist of mercy upon my soul.4) Joey Votto wins the NL OBP name as a result of .050 or moreFirst Cesar Geronimo Jersey, the confront conserving: Joey Votto's .434 OBP led the NL nevertheless all over again, the 5th these period he's said that senior circuit name inside his Reds occupation.Minute, the admission: DJ LeMahieu done minute in just the NL within OBP, his .416 mark sitting down basically .018 even worse than Votto's, indicating this listed here prediction doesn't continue to keep a great deal h2o.The premise below was easy plenty of. The Reds experienced traded absent Todd Frazier, the most important ribbie-thumper projected in the direction of back again Votto within the Reds lineup within 2016, and Jay Bruce was of course in direction of be absent quickly thereafter, as well. That remaining Brandon Phillips as the merely true "set centre of the get bat" still left upon the roster, and my final prediction piggybacked this one particular for an overreaching thought: groups ended up shifting in direction of pitch close to the hyperselective Votto, and would do as a result at an alarming rate.Effectively, that didn't particularly transpire how I principle. Votto slumped early and sported an elevated K-price tag that experienced pitchers physically demanding him all through the to start with handful of weeks inside tactics they hadn't just before, and he wasn't up in direction of the undertaking of punishing them towards the buy-transfer Nevertheless, he sported a .453 OBP versus April 23rd in direction of the conclusion of the time - a 141 activity extend - and a weighty .490 OBP right after the All Star split, therefore at minimum we observed plenty of for me toward almost certainly produce this very same damn prediction back again up coming April for very good evaluate.Verdict: Votto's nonetheless a freak, When he freaked inside marginally alternative strategies than I proposed he would freak. In addition, I'm offered for use as a spin physician, yourself politicians within just the group. For a tiny level.5) The Reds deliver a Rolen-esque exchange prior to the conclude of the yearMy window of prospect for this a person incorporates not nonetheless expired, and supplied the functionality of the chill out of my prognostications, I'm satisfied in direction of not but chalk this just one up in just the reduction column. Nonetheless.I nevertheless believe that the entrance business office consists of the "incorporate a savvy veteran" state of mind even with Walt Jocketty consuming formally passed the distant in the direction of Dick Williams, and I'm intrigued in direction of view how that performs out just before the 2017 time starts off. Williams hinted higher than the weekend that the staff wouldn't be deep-diving into the cost-free representative marketplace, nonetheless would include eyes upon introducing towards the bullpen, probably the again of the rotation, or bringing inside of a functional veteran for the bench. Previously, he by natural means didn't point out undertaking as a result as a result of exchange, however no GM would demonstrate that card consequently publicly at that position, possibly.Expensive lord, I assume it's not a Pass up Schumaker or a Ryan Ludwick model signing Vance Worley Jersey, still it may possibly be. It may well be considerably less Rolen-y and even further together the traces of Ramon Hernandez. It may be Bronson Arroyo upon a little league package when he makes sure us all he can strike 78 mph remaining passed and he's as thriving as he was throwing righty for his comprehensive occupation. Continue to, I imagine a go of this ilk goes down, and a person of considerably fewer scrap-heap stature than the Alfredo Simons, Kevin Greggs, or Ross Ohlendorfs of the earth were being.